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July 30, 2021 --- There is a slight risk of severe weather for central through central north and east NE, southwest IA, and northern MO.
The National Hurricane Center is not now forecasting any Atlantic warnings or notices.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
US Hazards Outlook for 8/5/21/ to 8/10/21 is only calling for excessive heat for north central US of A
The US Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook from 8/1/21 to 8/5/21 is:
- Heavy rain across portions of the Northern Rockies, northern Great Basin, Central Rockies,
Central and Southern High Plains, Southern Plains, Mid-South, and the interior Northeast, Sun, Aug
1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Southeast and southern Mid-Atlantic, Sun-Thu, Aug 1-Aug 5.
- Heavy rain across portions of the the Southern Appalachians, Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Lower
Mississippi Valley, and the Southern Plains, Mon-Tue, Aug 2-Aug 3.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Southeast, Mon-Thu, Aug 2-Aug 5.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley, Sun, Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of western mainland Alaska, Sun, Aug 1.
As of 1025Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: seven Tornado reports in PA. OH. and IL ; 18 Hail reports: OH, VA, and NJ with 1 reported two inches or over UT.  127 Wind reports, most in OH, PA, MD, VA, NJ, IN, NY and KY with one reported over 75 MPH.PA, OH, IL
In the last 24 hrs. there have been over 100 earthquakes, over M 2.5, around the location of ysterdays 8.2 M  earthquake, 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska
July 29, 2021 --- There is an enhanced risk of severe weather for central through central south and southeast PA, far northeast VA, MD, DE, and central through southern NJ. The area of slight risk extends from northeast MO, central through southern IL, IN, northern KY, central and northern WV, northern VA, PA, NJ and eastern Long Island NY.
The National Hurricane Center is not now forecasting any Atlantic warnings or notices.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
US Hazards Outlook for 8/5/21/ to 8/10/21 is only calling for excessive heat for north central US of A
The US Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook from 7/31/21 to 8/4/21 is:
- Heavy rain across portions of the Lower Missouri Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley, Sat, Jul
31.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Front Range and Central and Southern High Plains, Sat-Sun, Jul
31-Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Northern Rockies, Sat-Sun, Jul 31-Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the interior Northeast, Sun, Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Southern Plains, Mid-South, and Tennessee Valley, Sun, Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Western and Central Gulf Coast, Lower Mississippi Valley, and the Southeast, Mon-Tue, Aug 2-Aug 3.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Southeast, Sun-Wed, Aug 1-Aug 4.
- Excessive heat across portions of the interior Pacific Northwest, Sat, Jul 31.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Southern Plains and Mid-South, Sat-Sun, Jul 31-Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of mainland Alaska, Sat-Sun, Jul 31-Aug 1.
As of 1045Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday as of 1040Z: zero Tornado reports MN; 25 Hail reports: MN, WI, MD, TX, and VA with 1 reported two inches or over UT.  178 Wind reports, most in VA, NC, PA, SC, GA, WI, IL, MI and IN with one reported over 75 MPH.
Earthquake M 8.2 - 104 km SE of Perryville, Alaska
July 28, 2021 Update: Derecho Potential MN/WI
: A severe weather system capable of widespread damaging wind gusts, very large hail, and several tornadoes is forecast across portions of Minnesota and Wisconsin late this afternoon into tonight.
▪ Moderate Risk of intense severe thunderstorms and possible derecho development
▪ Very large hail greater than 2 inches in diameter possible
▪ Damaging wind gusts expected, reaching up to 75 mph
▪ 10% chance of tornado development within the risk area
The Dixie Fire (Plumas, CA) continues to cause damages since our last report 12 more homes were destroyed along with 5 other buildings.
 July 28,  2021 --- There is a moderate risk of severe weather over far central east MN and 80% of WI. There is an enhanced risk of severe weather around this area and the area of slight risk from central north through central and the eastern border of MN, WI, northeast IL, northern IN, far northwest OH, and central west and southwest through southern MI.
The National Hurricane Center is not now forecasting any Atlantic warnings or notices.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
US Hazards Outlook for 8/4/21/ to 8/10/21 is only calling for excessive heat for north central US of A 
The US Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook from 7/303/21 to 8//21 is:
 Heavy rain across portions of the Upper and Middle Missouri Valley, Fri, Jul 30.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Lower Missouri Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley, Sat, Jul 31.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Front Range and Central High Plains, Sat-Sun, Jul 31-Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Southern Plains, Lower Mississippi Valley, and Tennessee Valley, Sun-Mon, Aug 1-Aug 2.
- Heavy rain across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast, Sun-Tue, Aug 1-Aug 3.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Southeast, Fri, Jul 30.
- Excessive heat across portions of the interior Pacific Northwest, Fri-Sat, Jul 30-Jul 31.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley, Fri-Sun, Jul 30-Aug 1.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Southern Plains, Sat-Mon, Jul 31-Aug 2.
- Heavy rain across portions of mainland Alaska, Sat-Mon, Jul 31-Aug 2.
As of 1045Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday as of 1040Z: zero Tornado reports MN; 11 Hail reports: MN, and WI, with 1 reported two inches or over UT.  151 Wind reports, most in VA, NC, GA, NY, MA, VE, MA, CT and RI with one reported over 75 MPH.
July 27,  2021 ---Update - The Bootleg Fire  (Klamath, OR) 5396-FM-OR Total Acres Burnt 410,731
The fire is 53% contained. There were 94 additional homes and 130 other buildings being reported destroyed today, bringing the total to 161 homes and 247 other buildings destroyed.  Five people have suffered injuries as a result of this fire.
Severe thunderstorms for the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes.  Excessive rainfall is forecast for areas of the Southeast affected by the disturbance being reported on by the NHC,
July 27,  2021 ---Two areas of slight risk for severe weather today are southern MN, central west WI and far northeast IA and western to central NY.
Tomorrow an area at risk for enhanced risk of severe weather is central north through central east WI.
The National Hurricane Center is now forecasting a 10% chance of development over the next five days.  The storm is on GA's central east coast.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
The US Hazards Outlook for 8/3/21/ to 8/9/21 only for excessive heat for northeastern TX, north LA, AR, western MO, central and eastern OK, central and eastern KS, eastern NE, western IA, and western MO. 
The US Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook from 7/29/21 to 8/2/21 is:
- Heavy rain across portions of the Front Range, as well as from the northern Plains to the
mid-Mississippi Valley, Fri-Sun, Jul 30-Aug 1.
- Heavy rain across portions of the southern Appalachians, Sun, Aug 1.
- Excessive heat across portions of the central/southern Plains to the lower and mid-Mississippi
Valley, as well as the interior Pacific Northwest, Thu-Sun, Jul 29-Aug 1.
- Excessive heat across portions of the central Plains to the mid-Mississippi Valley, Thu, Jul 29.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Carolina's, Fri, Jul 30.
- Heavy rain across the southern portions of Lisburne and Seward Peninsulas in mainland Alaska,
Thu-Mon, Jul 29-Aug 2.
- Heavy rain across portions of southwestern Alaska, Sat-Mon, Jul 31-Aug 2.
- Heavy rain across portions of southwestern Alaska, Fri-Mon, Jul 30-Aug 2.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday as of 1040Z: one Tornado reports MN; 24 Hail reports: SD, VA, MN, MD, and WI, with 3 reported two inches or over UT.  122 Wind reports, most in VA, NC, MD, OK, SC, TX, OK, and DC with zero reported over 75 MPH.
July 26,  2021---Update -- There is an enhanced area of risk of severe weather over northern WI and north central and north central east MN.  This is surrounded by an area of slight risk of severe thunderstorms over the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes. A second area of slight risk of severe storms is central NC through central south and eastern VA.
 July 26,  2021 ---The National Hurricane Center is now forecasting a 30% chance of development over the next five days.  The storm is approaching Florida central east coast.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: zero Tornado reports MI; 17 Hail reports: UT and SD with 3 reported two inches or over UT.  51 Wind reports, most in NV, UT, CO, KS, SD, TX and OK, with zero reported over 75 MPH.
July 25, 2021 ---Update: Dixie Fire (Plumas, CA) 5400-FM-CA 181,289 acres burnt, 20% contained 16,410 Evacuations 10,601 Homes threatened 16 homes destroyed along with six other structures.
Chuweah Creek Fire (Nespelem, WA) 5397-FM-WA 36,820 Acres burnt  50% contained  Evacuation order lifted.
 Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for the Southwest and Central Great Basin.
July 25,  2021 ---The National Hurricane Center is now forecasting a 50% chance of development over the next five days.  The storm is moving towards Florida central east coast.
Significant River Flood Outlook is for no flooding or possible flooding in the next five days.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 26, 2021 - July 30, 2021  - Heavy rain across portions of the Mid-Atlantic, Mon, Jul 26.
- Flooding occurring or imminent across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and ArkLaTex, Mon-Fri, Jul 26-Jul 30.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Northern High Plains, Mon-Tue, Jul 26-Jul 27.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Upper and Middle Missouri Valley, Mon-Wed, Jul 26-Jul 28.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Lower Missouri Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley, Wed-Thu, Jul 28-Jul 29.
- Excessive heat across portions of the interior Pacific Northwest, Thu-Fri, Jul 29-Jul 30.
- Much above normal temperatures across portions of the Northern Great Basin, Mon, Jul 26.
- Much above normal temperatures across portions of the Northern and Central Plains and the Midwest, Mon-Thu, Jul 26-Jul 29.
- Heavy rain across portions of mainland Alaska, Tue-Wed, Jul 27-Jul 28.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook  valid from 7/31 to 8/6 is calling for excessive heat for the mid Atlantic and northern central through central states. Flood risk for northwest NM, western CO, southwest and south central WY, and eastern UT.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: four Tornado reports MI; 2 Hail reports: UT and CO with zero reported two inches or over UT.  49 Wind reports, most in MI, VA, IN, and IL, with zero reported over 75 MPH.
July 24,  2021 ---Update - The National Hurricane Center is discussing a disturbance, which has elevated the chance of development to over 60% the next five days.  The NHC is advising interests in Florida to monitor the development of this system. 
Wildfires Western U.S.
The Dixie Fire (Plumas, CA) 5400-FM-CA 167,430 acres burnt has grown since yesterday (+54,424 acres) 18% of the fire is so far contained and an additional 5,500 homes are threatened, total 7,000.
The Tamarack Fire (Douglas, NV) 5402-FM-NV 59,112 acres burnt has grown (+8,983 acres) 4% of the fire is contained and an addtional 700 Homes are threatened, total 1,505
Severe thunderstorms possible for the Great Lakes states.  Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for the Southwest, Central Great Basin, and Central/Southern Plains.
July 24,  2021 ---The National Hurricane Center is discussing a disturbance, which has a 50% chance of development over the next five days.  The NHC is advising interests in Florida to monitor the development of this system.  The outfall of moisture related to this disturbance is primaraly in the Atlantic  The GFS does not appear to be forecasting additional development at this time.
Significant River Flood Outlook for flooding or possible flooding in the next five days in west central MS.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 25, 2021 - July 29, 2021  Heavy rain across portions of the Mid-Atlantic, Mon, Jul 26.
- Flooding occurring or imminent across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley and ArkLaTex, Mon-Fri, Jul 26-Jul 30.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Northern High Plains, Mon-Tue, Jul 26-Jul 27.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Upper and Middle Missouri Valley, Mon-Wed, Jul 26-Jul 28.
- Excessive heat across portions of the Lower Missouri Valley and Middle Mississippi Valley, Wed-Thu, Jul 28-Jul 29.
- Excessive heat across portions of the interior Pacific Northwest, Thu-Fri, Jul 29-Jul 30.
- Much above normal temperatures across portions of the Northern Great Basin, Mon, Jul 26.
- Much above normal temperatures across portions of the Northern and Central Plains and the Midwest, Mon-Thu, Jul 26-Jul 29.
- Heavy rain across portions of mainland Alaska, Tue-Wed, Jul 27-Jul 28.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook  valid from 7/31 to 8/6 is calling for excessive heat for the mid Atlantic and northern central through central states. Flood risk for northwest NM, western CO, southwest and south central WY, and eastern UT.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: one Tornado reports NM; 24 Hail reports: NH, MA, SD, MN with one reported two inches or over UT.  50 Wind reports, most in MN, NH, SD, and GA, with two reported over 75 MPH.
July 23,  2021 --- Update -- Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for the Southwest to the Central/Southern Rockies.  Severe thunderstorms possible on the Northern Plains to Upper Mississippi Valley.
FMAG Approved Tamarack Fire (Douglas, NV) 5402-FM-NV 50,129 Acres burnt -- 4% contained -- 2,439 Voluntary evacuations -- 805 Homes threatened -- 2 Homes damaged -- 9 Homes destroyed -- 5 other buildings destroyed with 2 injuries.  Also threatening 325 commercial properties and minor structures, a water treatment plant, power distribution lines and substations, cellular communication towers, and Highway 395.
July 23,  2021 ---The National Hurricane Center is discussing a disturbance, which has a 30% chance of development over the next five days.  The outfall of moisture related to this disturbance is primaraly int the Atlantic  The GFS does not appear to be forecasting additional development at this time.
Significant River Flood Outlook for flooding or possible flooding in the next five days in west central IL.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 25, 2021 - July 29, 2021 Heavy rain for AZ, southern UT, far southwest CO, western NM,, AZ, East Sotheast FL. eastern VA and eastern NC. Excessive or much above normal for north central west, central north,. and central US.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook  valid from 7/30 to 8/5 is calling for excessive heat for the mid Atlantic and northern central through central states. Flood risk for northwest NM, western CO, southwest and south central WY, and eastern UT.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: zero Tornado reports; 1 Hail reports with zero reported two inches or over UT.  60 Wind reports, most in MT, NV, ND, SD, and FL, with five reported over 75 MPH.
There was a Magnitude  4.7 earthquake - 7 km SSE of Salcha, Alaska 2021-07-23 04:20:20 (UTC)64.461N 146.850W11.7 km depth
July 22,  2021 ---Update - Heavy rain/flash flooding possible from Southwest to the Central Rockies.  Critical Fire Weather possible for Portions of northern Montana.  Elevated to Critical Fire Weather for Northern California to the Northern Plains.
July 22,  2021 ---The National Hurricane Center is discussing a disturbance located over AL and MS, which has a 30% chance of development over the next five days.  The GFS does not appear to be forecasting additional development at this time.  However, even without tropical storms to focus the moisture coming off Gulf waters, the States bordering the Gulf and inland areas are at risk of flooding and flash floods from storm systems using moisture from the Gulf.
Significant River Flood Outlook for flooding or possible flooding in the next five days in west central IL.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 24, 2021 - July 28, 2021 Heavy rain for AZ, southern UT, far southwest CO, western NM and, AZ. Excessive or much above normal for north central west, central north,. and central US.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook  valid from 7/29 to 8/4 is calling for excessive heat for the mid Atlantic and northern central through central states. Flood risk for northwest NM, western CO, southwest and south central WY, and eastern UT.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: zero Tornado reports TX; 24 Hail reports with zero reported two inches or over, most reports over NY and NH.  49 Wind reports, most in PA, MD, and NJ, with zero reported over 75 MPH.
There was a Magnitude  4.3 earthquake- 88 km W of Adak, Alaska and several Mag 3 + scattered around the States
July 21,  2021 -Update---FMAG Approved Cedar Creek Fire (Okanogan, WA) 5401-FM-WA 5,945 Acres Burnt -- 10% Fire Contained --Mandatory Evacuations 199 -- 260 Voluntary Evacuations -- 635 Homes Threatened -- Zero Destroyed
Heavy rain/flash flooding possible for portions of the Southwest & Central Rockies.  Severe thunderstorms possible for parts of the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast.  Elevated Fire Weather / Red Flag Warnings for CA, NV, OR, WA, & ID.  Isolated Dry Thunderstorms for the Northern Intermountain & Rockies.  Atlantic  Disturbance 1  Low (20%) probalility of formation.
July 21, 2021 ---Significant River Flood Outlook in the next five days in west central IL.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 23, 2021 - July 27, 2021 Heavy rain for MI, far northeast IN, northern OH, southern UT, far southwest CO, western NM and, AZ. Excessive or much above normal for north central west, central north, east central south. and central US.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook is calling for possible flooding for northeastern AZ and northwestern NM, east southeast UT, and central to west CO.  Excessive heat for the mid Atlantic and northern central through central states.
As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: one Tornado reports TX; 24 Hail reports with one reported two inches or over, most reports over NY and NH.  129 Wind reports, most in MI, PA, NY, NH, and VT, with zero reported over 75 MPH. 
There was a Magnitude M 4.3 - 5km W of Petrolia, CA at 2021-07-21 10:05:31 (UTC)40.326N 124.339W and at a depth of 27.6 km.
July 20, 2021 ---Update -- Excessive Rainfall threat for the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee valleys.  Elevated Fire Weather for CA, the Northwest and Northern Plains. 
Dixie Fire (Plumas, CA) 5400-FM-CA -- 40,000 Acres burnt  -- 15% contained -- 1,500 under mandatory evacuation, 800 under voluntary evacuation -- 8 homes destroyed.  The fire began on July 13th and currently burning in Plumas County, threatening communities and critical infrastructure. Red Hill Microwave Communication Site, which provides critical service to state agencies is threatened as well as the PG&E 765 Mega Watt Transmission line and PG&E Hydroelectric power facilities. Approximately 8,000 customers are without power.  Portions of Hwy 70 are closed, due to landslides caused by fire.
July 20, 2021 ---Significant River Flood Outlook in the next five days in far southeast Kansas, west central IL, and central south IN.
U.S. Day 3-7 Hazards Outlook Valid July 22, 2021 - July 26, 2021 Heavy rain for eastern WI, MI, AZ, and western NM. Excessive heat for north central west, central north, east central south. and central US.
U.S. Week-2 Hazards Outlook is calling for possible flooding for eastern AZ and western NM, far southwest UT, and central to west CO.  Excessive heat for the northern central states. 
As of 1010Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: Zero Tornado reports; 10 Hail reports with two reported two inches or over.  26 Wind reports, most
in ND, TX, and FL, with one reported over 75 MPH.
The long range GFS is still not showing any tropical storm development to the 5th of August. Remember, there is only one hurricane authority, the National Hurricane Center.  
There was a Magnitude 4.3 earthquake, 21km NNW of Ninilchik, Alaska.
July 19, 2021 ---Update -- Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for the Southern Plains to Southeast and the Mid-Atlantic states. Critical fire weather for the Northern Plains.
Update on the Bootleg Fire:(Klamath, OR) 5396-FM-OR 293,307 acres now burnt 2118 Evacuations  Homes threatened  2,460,  Homes damaged 9; Home destroyed 67; other properties destroyed 117.
July 19, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in the next five days in far southeast Kansas, central west MO, west central IL, and central south IN.
The two-week hazard outlook is calling for high winds along CA's coast, possible flooding for AZ and western NM, southeast NV, southwest UT.  Excessive heat for the northern central states.  As of 1040Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: three Tornado reports, One CT and TX; 12 Hail reports with one- 2 inches or over, most in KS and OK; 30 wind reports predominantly in VA, SC, GA, TX, NV, UT, KS, OK, and WY with zero reported over 75 MPH.
The percentage of the total number of people in the US of A who are dying because of Covid-19, who are unvaccinated, is over 99%.
The long-range GFS forecasts the tropical storms in the eastern Pacific, to largely disintegrate prior to reaching HI and the remnants to move north or south past the islands. 

July 18, 2021 ---Update - Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for parts of Southwest to Southern Plains; Lower/Middle Mississippi valleys and Northeast.
July 18, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in the next five days in far southeast Kansas, west southwest MO, central west IL, southeast NY, far east PA, west MA, west CT, and central to north NJ, and central south IN. 
Magnitude 5.1 - 12km W of Petrolia, CA 2021-07-18 06:46:12 (UTC)40.324N 124.426W30.9 km depth.
The two week hazard outlook is calling for high winds along CA's coast, possible flooding for AZ and western NM, southeast NV, southwest UT.  Excessive heat for the northern central states, now extending through the mid Atlantic states.  As of 950Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: one Tornado report; 18 Hail reports with three- 2 inches or over; 153 wind reports predominantly in NC, VA, WV, PA, NY, NJ, CT and MA with one over 75 MPH.
There has been a 40.7% increase in the number of Covid-19 tests testing positive in the last week.  The US of A is headed for its forth Covid-19 case spike.  This spike is due to people choosing to endanger themselves and others.
July 17, 2021 --- Update - Excessive Rainfall possible for areas of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.  Severe Weather possible for the Mid-Atlantic.
Buffalo Fire  (Yellowstone, MT) XXXX-FM-MT Approved 325 acres burnt, 0% contained; 570 people evacuated; 285 Homes threatened: 16 Homes Destroyed.
July 17, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in the next five days in west central MO, southeast KS, most of IL,far northern and southern IN, southeastern MI and western NY.  There is a low forecast to develop near MD/DE around the 23rd that may spin up into something before passing out to sea.
 As of 1140Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: zero Tornado reports; 19 Hail reports with three- 2 inches or over - the hail reports were predominantly in ND and SD; 93 wind reports predominantly in SD, OH, PA and IN with one reported over 75 MPH. An Experimental Explosion from a Navy test located 187 km ENE of Flagler Beach, Florida, caused a tremor that measured magnitude 3.9.
July 16, 2021 -Update--- Excessive Rainfall forecast Southwest, Middle Mississippi Valley to the Great Lakes. In the eastern Pacific:  Hurricane Felicia, a CAT 3, has formed.  This and other storms are headed toward Hawaii.  However, the GFS shows them running into the high located off the west coast and disintegrating.  When a tropical storm runs into a high, the high generally wins.  
Michigan has been quickly approved for a Major Disaster Declaration - FEMA-4607-DR-MI, for Individual Assistance for two counties, related to Severe Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes, which took place on Jun 25-26 and continuing...
Fire Update: (Klamath, OR) 5396-FM-OR 227,234 acres burnt; 2,000 Evacuated; 5,072 homes threatened.
July 16, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in the next five days in west central, central north, and northeastern east MO, southeast IA, most of IL, northern IN, and southern MI.
The two week hazard outlook is calling for high winds along CA's coast, possible flooding for AZ and western NM, southeast NV, southwest UT.  Excessive heat for the northern central states, now extending through the mid Atlantic states.  As of 1045Z the Storm Prediction Center reports for yesterday: zero Tornado reports; 6 Hail reports with 1- 2 inches or over; 33 wind reports predominantly in OH, NY, UT and AZ with zero over 75 MPH.
July 15, 2021 --- 2nd Update - The Storm Prediction Center updated the storm report available earlier today.  It is now reporting 50 Tornado reports. all except one reported in IA.  14 hail reports, one 2 inch or over; 133 wind reports, 2 -- 75 MPH or over. 
 July 15, 2021 --- Update - Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for Southwest; Southern Plains to Great Lakes.
FMAG -- Red Apple Fire (Chelan, WA) 5398-FM-WA 9,000 acres burned; 0% contained;
Mandatory evacuation for: 2,100 People; Homes Threatened : 401.
Update on Bootleg Fire: (Klamath, OR ) 5396-FM-OR -- 212,377 Acres burnt; 7% contained; Mandatory evacuations for 2,000 People; 1,926 Homes threatened: 1 home damaged; 21 homes destroyed; 54 other structures destroyed
July 15, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in west central, central north, and northeastern east MO, far southeast IA, most of IL, the central half of WI east to west.
The two week hazard outlook is calling for high winds along CA's coast, possible flooding for AZ and NM, excessive heat for the northern central states, and risk of excessive heat for the mid-Atlantic States.
1 Tornado reported yesterday in NM.  12 hail reports with zero over 2 inches or over, in AZ, NM, and NJ. 133 wind reports predominantly in PA, NY, and WY with 3 over 75 MPH.
July 14, 2021 Update --- Severe thunderstorms from the Central Plains to the Great Lakes, and the Northeast
There is a disturbance in the Atlantic with a low probability of tropical storm formation (10%)
Michigan is making a request for Major Disaster Declaration of Individual Assistance for two counties as a result of Severe Storm, Tornadoes, and Flooding that took place on Jun 25-26, 2021 .
A FMAG has been approved 5397-FM-WA for the Chuweah Creek Fire, WA; (Okanogan & Colville Reservation, WA) 15,000 acres have been burned, with 0% contained; 325 people have been evacuated, 100 homes are threatened, 3 homes and 4 other buildings have been destroyed, with one person injured.
July 14, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in in central east, central north, and northeastern east MO, far southeast IA, central and west central IL, central WI east and west, in central east TX, and eastern north Florida. Today's forecast from the Storm Prediction Center calls for an enhanced area of risk for central, central north, central east and northeast IA, far north northwest IL, southeast MN and the southern half of WI.
1 Tornado reported yesterday in IL.  4 hail reports with zero over 2 inches or over, in AZ, NM, and NJ. 110 wind reports predominantly in AZ, TX, NV, GA, PA, SC, and NJ with zero over 75 MPH.
July 13, 2021 Update ---Heavy rain and flash flooding for parts of the Southwest and the Great Lakes to Northeast.  Severe thunderstorms possible over the Northern Plains, through the Great Lakes to Mid-Atlantic.  Excessive heat and elevated fire weather for the Western States.  The fire near Klamath, OR  FMAG# 5396-FM-OR has now burnt 150,812 acres with zero containment, 2,000 people have been evacuated -- 1,926 Home are threatened, 1 Damaged and, 21 homes destroyed; an additional 54 structures of other types have been lost. 
July 13, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in northeastern MO, far southeast IA, central and east central IL, in inland areas near TX's coast, in central east TX, and eastern north Florida. The tomorrows forecast from the Storm Prediction Center calls for an enhanced area of risk for central north and northeast IA, central south to central east and southeast MN and all WS.
1 Tornado reported yesterday in Arizona.  29 hail reports with 1 over 2 inches or over, mostly in AZ and NM. 106 wind reports predominantly in AZ, MS, NV, MT, PA, NC and AL with 5 over 75 MPH and one injury.
July 12 2021, ---Update - Bootleg Fire, Klamath County Oregon: The fire began on July 6 and is threatening 1,926 homes (935 primary residences) in and around the communities of Sprague River, Sycan Estates subdivision, Bly, and Beatty (total population approximately 1,250)  It is also threatening roads, bridges, utilities, infrastructure, recreation and businesses.  Most notably, the power grid for the west coast states.  Heavy rain and flash flooding for the Southwest; Southern Plains; Lower  Mississippi to Tennessee Valley; Ohio Valley to Great Lakes; Mid-Atlantic to Northeast.  Severe thunderstorms possible for Florida.  Excessive heat and elevated fire weather for the Western States.
July 12, 2021 ---Flooding taking place or possible in northeastern MO, far southeast IA, central and east central IL, in inland areas near TX's coast, and eastern north Florida. 7 Tornado reported yesterday in NE, IL and MO. 144 wind reports, predominantly in AZ, NE, KS, MO, IL, NY, PA, NC and GA with 18 over 75 MPH and 14 hail reports with 0 over 2 inches or over, mostly in AZ, NM, KY, VA, MS and OK.
July 11, 2021 --- Update: Texas Gulf Coast Flooding: Drier conditions next week will allow the moderate to major flooding to crest and recede, with most crests occurring this weekend. 10 (-1) flood gauges remain at major 2 (+1) to moderate 8 (-3) throughout coastal southeast Texas
Severe Weather Possible for Southwest and Southern Plains.  Heavy Rain/Flash Flooding possible for the Lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast.  Excessive Heat and Fire Weather for the Western States.
Bootleg Fire (Klamath, OR ) XXXX-FM-OR Approved 7/10/21: 90,000 Acres Burned, 0% Contained, : Mandatory evacuations issued for 147 households, Preparation for evacuation advisories issued for 1,050 households, Threatens: 1,197 Homes. The fire is also threatening roads, bridges, utilities, infrastructure, recreation, and businesses areas.
July 11, 2021 --- Flooding taking place or possible in northeastern MO, southeast IA, northern and central IL northern IN, far southwest MI, and in inland areas near TX's coast. 1 Tornado reported yesterday in WY, 404 wind reports, predominantly in AZ, NE, KS, MO, IL, NY, PA, NC and GA with 18 over 75 MPH and 111 hail reports with 22 over 2 inches or over, mostly in IA, NE, MO. and IL.
July 10, 2021 --- Update Flooding on the Texas Gulf Coast  -- There are High Water rescues taking place led by TX-TF1: 53, which is deployed to impacted areas.  NE, MO, KS, and IA Power outages taking place as the result of waves of severe storms brought widespread damage from dangerously strong winds and hail, extending from Alliance, Nebraska through to St. Louis, Missouri. As of 9:00 a.m. this morning, the NOAA Storm Prediction Center preliminary storm reports identify overnight periods of high winds (60+ mph in some areas) and hail (up to golf ball size in some areas)  Excessive Rainfall is forecast from the Central Plains to the Ohio Valley.  Excessive Heat and Fire Weather for the Western States.
July 10, 2021 ---Flooding taking place west central IL and central coastal area of TX.  Flooding Likely to take place in eastern CT and RI.  Flooding possible in central and eastern MA, central and western CT, eastern IA, northeastern MO, northern and central IL northern IN and far southwest MI.  The GFS does not show a tropical storm forming due to the effects of a series of highs developing and keeping the westerlies to the south for the near future.
July 9, 2021 ---Update Severe Weather Possible for the Central U.S.  Heavy rain and Flash Flooding possible for Texas and the Northeast.  Excessive heat and Fire Weather for the Western States  Magnitude 6.0 earthquake for the Antelope Valley, CA
July 9, 2021 ---This morning Tropical Storm Elsa is located in eastern NJ. With steady winds of 50 MPH Elsa is going to reach the Atlantic again before making a second US mainland landfall.  Some intensification is possible as it passes over water.  The second landfall could be at the end of Long Island or at the base of Cape Cod.  The highest wind speeds are to the right of center as Elsa passes to the northeast.  A moderate risk of flash flooding exists in a triangular area from south-central CT to coastal areas north starting from a point just south of Boston.   There is also a moderate risk of flooding in southeast IA, the northeast third of MO and central eastern Illinois. 
July 8, 2021 ---2nd Update --Elsa's current wind speed is five MPH faster than previously forecast. Fou inches of additional rainfall is forecast to fall in a line from New York City to Hartford, CT.   MDS has an urgent need for up to 15 volunteers to serve in Jennings, LA for the week of July 18-24. Volunteers are working on repairs from the 2020 hurricanes that passed through the area. Work will primarily be roofing, soffit and fascia repair, ceiling drywall repair and finishing, flooring, installing cabinets, and occasional painting. If you or a group might be interested in joining that week, we would love to have them join! All skills and experience levels are welcome. Call 811-241-8111 ext. 1 or email dfrey@mds.org with any questions or interest.
July 8, 2021 ---Update -- Partial Building Collapse Surfside, FL - 23 human remains were recovered yesterday, 86  individuals remain unaccounted.
Tropical Storm Elsa Response -- Florida has lifted evacuation orders 
Texas Gulf Coast Flooding  -Heavy rainfall (10-15 inches) with locally higher amounts possible along Texas coastline, mainly between Corpus Christi and Victoria
Severe thunderstorms possible for the Northern/Central Plains and coastal Carolinas. Enhanced risk for the far west north part of MT, the southwest corner of SD, and far north northwest SD.
Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for parts of the Southern Plains and  Southeast to Northeast
Critical Fire Weather for the Central Great Basin to Northern Rockies.
July 8, 2021 ---Elsa is currently in SC with a steady wind speed of 40 MPH.  As Elsa approaches the coast of Delaware tomorrow morning its steady wind speed increases to 45 MHP and as it reenters the Atlantic Friday Afternoon it is forecast to strengthen to 50 MPH. Some areas including NJ, New York City and CT could see rainfall of over 5 inches. 
July 7, 2021 ---3rd Update -- The latest NHC forecast brings down the forecast winds an additional 5 MPH.  For the rest of its transverse across the United States this means that the steady wind forecast will be between 35 and 45 MPH. with higher gusts.
July 7, 2021 ---2nd Update --The latest update from the National Hurricane Center puts the path of Elsa to the west and reduces the forecast wind-speed.  Because there is less interaction with the ocean, Elsa's winds will be about 5 MPH lower, but it also means that it will almost directly pass over or near Augusta, Columbia, Richmond,Philadelphia, New York City, Hartford, and Boston.
July 7, 2021 ---Update - Severe thunderstorms possible for the Northern Plains, Great Lakes; and Florida.   Heavy rain and flash flooding Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley; Southeast.
July 7, 2021 ---The National Hurricane Center has bumped up Elsa's forecast strength for the duration of its passage over the US of A. The National Hurricane Center and the GFS both keep Elsa to its previously forecast path. Elsa will approach landfall as a category one hurricane, but is forecast to make its first mainland US landfall east of Tallahassee today as a strong tropical storm.  The NHC is forecasting that the second US of A landfall will take place at 2 PM Friday at the southwestern edge of Cape Code as a tropical storm with steady winds of 50 MPH.  The weather service has also increased the precipitation forecast for New England with many areas forecast to receive over 3 inches of rainfall.  
There is an area on the coast of Texas which is forecast to receive over 10 inches of rainfall in the next seven days.
Safe Rooms for Tornadoes and Hurricanes -- FEMA P-361, April 2021 Fourth Edition: Guidance for Community and Residential Safe Rooms Paperback July 4, 2021
July 6, 2021 4th Update ---The new NHC and GFS forecasts remain consistent with earlier forecasts. 
July 6, 2021 3rd Update ---The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Englewood, FL to Aucilla River including Tampa Bay...3 to 5 ft
Bonita Beach, FL to Englewood, FL including Charlotte Harbor...2 to 4 ft
Aucilla River to Ochlockonee River...2 to 4 ft
Flamingo, FL to Bonita Beach, FL...1 to 3 ft
Craig Key, FL to Dry Tortugas...1 to 2 ft
Ochlockonee River to Indian Pass...1 to 2 ft
Mouth of St. Marys River to South Santee River, SC...1 to 2 ft
July 6, 2021 2nd Update ---The latest GFS and NHC forecasts bring a Tropical Storm Elsa over parts of Cape Code.
July 6, 2021 Update ---Work to remove the debris and access human remains has quickened with the demolition of the Partial Building Collapse in Surfside, FL. 
Tropical Storm Elsa Potential Impacts: are Storm Surge Warning/Watches up to 3 feet for a small population; Tropical Storm Warnings/Watches, and Hurricane Watch in effect for Florida Keys, Florida, and South Carolina.  Tornadoes are possible across south Florida tonight and across the Florida Peninsula for today. Rainfall localized maximum amounts up to 8 inches from Florida Keys into southwest and western Florida Peninsula; 2-4 inches, with localized maximum totals up to 6 inches across rest of Florida; 3-5 inches across southeast GA and low country of South Carolina; 1-3 inches across coastal NC into southeastern VA
Approved: Fire Management Assistance - Andrus (Spokane, WA ) 5395-FM-WA 500 Acres burnt with 1000 resident and 1000 visitors evacuated and 400 homes threatened.
July 6, 2021 --- The most recent National Hurricane Center forecast calls for Elsa to strengthen to a category one hurricane before landfall . The center of Elsa is forecast to travel north just off the coast of western Florida and most of its precipitation and highest winds will be east of the center on Florida's west coast.  The track: into Georgia, the Carolinas is the same as in previous forecasts.  The  of the track of the center of Elsa moves slightly to the east so that it tracks just off Long Island and New England.
July 5, 2021 ---3rd Update  -  The most recent National Hurricane Center forecast aligns with the earlier GFS simulation. The greatest uncertainty with tropical storm/hurricane forecasts concerns their intensity.
July 5, 2021 ---2nd Update  -  The current GFS shows that after reaching Georgia Elsa stays inland until reaching the Atlantic after passing through New Jersey as a greatly diminished low and then making a second landfall on Long Island and then Southern New England.
July 5, 2021 ---Update  -  Heavy Rain for portions of the  Southern Plains, Gulf Coast, & Southeast. Severe Thunderstorms for parts of the Northern Plains.  Emergency Declaration FEMA-3561-EM approved Public Assistance for 15 counties located in far southern Florida and western coastal areas.
Over the next seven days more rain is forecast to fall over southern Texas and the adjacent area in Mexico is forecast to receive over 7 inches of rainfall.
July 5, 2021 ---The Surfside, FL building was subject to a controlled explosion last night to bring down the remains of the building.  This morning, Tropical Storm Elsa is forecast to cross Cuba, weakening slightly, and enter the Gulf late tonight or early tomorrow.  It is forecast to strengthen slightly in the Gulf, to drop 4 to 6 inches of rainfall in the Keys and coastal areas of Florida's Gulf west coast and to make landfall east of Appalachia Bay.  The biggest change in our forecast is that, after landfall, the GFS is showing Elsa maintaining some of its structure and taking a path to west of that forecast by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and the seven day precipitation forecast.  If the GFS is correct Elsa will have a bigger impact on the Carolina's and coastal New England than is forecast by the NHC.  The NHC is the only "Hurricane Authority" in the United States.
July 4, 2021 Update ---This is the 245th anniversary of the issuance of the Declaration of Independence. 
The Surfside, FL building subject to a partial collapses is expected to be subject to a controlled explosion today to bring down the remains of the building.  Heavy Rain along the Gulf Coast, Southwest, & Southern Plains today and severe thunderstorms are forecast on the Southern Plains.
July 4, 2021 ---A diminished Tropical Storm Elsa is tracking towards Jamaica and Cuba.  There is some uncertainty with respect to the track it will actually take.  A move to the east would mean that it gathers strength.  However, if as expected, Elsa keeps to its forecast track it will enter the Gulf with winds of 50 MPH and then strengthen to 60 MPH prior to landfall, which is now forecast to take place around 2 AM Wednesday north of Tampa.  The seven-day precipitation forecast is calling for over 5 inches of rainfall to the south of Tampa.  If Elsa holds true to the new forecast, it should reach Georgia as a weakened low and tract through the Carolinas.  The Latest GFS now shows the remnants of Elsa off the coast of New England.   
July 3, 2021 ---Update-- The latest run of the GFS shows a greatly diminished Elsa dropping its moisture south and north of Tampa Bay. Merging with another weak low east of Tallahassee and then largely disintegrating.  It remnants are born again after it merges with another weak low and then enters the Atlantic to a develop into a subtropical low off and on New England. 
Heavy rain today for parts of the  Gulf Coast, Southwest, and southern High Plains  Severe thunderstorms area forecast for parts of Colorado into Nebraska
July 3, 2021 ---The latest GFS model simulation shows Elsa continuing to interact with land, crossing over Cuba, and emerging into the Gulf as a tropical storm.  The GFS continues to show the center of Elsa off the coast of Florida until it makes an impact east of Tallahassee.  However, it drops most of its rainfall east of its path in the area around Tampa and to the north.  Otherwise, it follows the path previously described as a much diminished storm.
July 2, 2021 update--- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) puts the course of what is now Hurricane Elsa well to the east of the GFS model.  This takes the storm over the tip of Hati and to have a much longer interaction with Cuba, bringing it down to a tropical storm again. The NHC then shows Elsa making a landfall near Tampa and crossing Florida to emerge into the Atlantic near the border of Georgia.
July 2, 2021 --- At the time of this writing the forecast track of Tropical Storm Elsa remains the same as yesterday.  Mainland landfall is still forecast east of Tallahassee. The only difference is that it is now forecast for the 7th. The 7 day precipitation forecast does not show a significant amount of rainfall associated with Elsa and the National Hurricane Center shows Elsa as a tropical storm through its forecast track.
July 1, 2021 --- Disturbance One is now Tropical Storm Elsa. This mornings run of the GFS is calling for a more southernly track, which would bring the storm across Jamaica, more perpendicular to Cuba and thus stronger when it reaches the Keys and the Gulf.  Landfall is still forecast east of Tallahassee, but after landfall the new track moves east.  This brings Elsa over land along the coast of Georgia and the Carolinas, before reaching the Atlantic Ocean again and making its way up the eastern coast and a second landfall on Cape Cod.  It's important to note that this forecast is based on one run of one forecast model.  The GFS is sometimes called the American Model, which doesn't make it exceptional.  Long range forecasts are unreliable, but sometimes correct. They can remind us that we always need to be ready for events that we don't want to happen, but for which we need to be prepared.
July 1, 2021 ---Partial Building Collapse - Surfside, FL -- 143 (-3) individuals still remain unaccounted for.  Hazmat Release - Morris, IL -- Mandatory evacuations for 1,000 homes extended till 10:00 p.m. ET today.  Severe Thunderstorms for the Mid-Atlantic.  Heavy Rain and Flash Flooding possible for parts of the Southern Plains, Appalachians, and Mid-Atlantic.
June 30, 2021 ---Partial Building Collapse search continues slowly in Surfside, FL.  Hazmat Release in Morris, IL. Fire officials reports that 180k to 200k lbs. of lithium batteries are burning, causing 1,000 people to be evacuated.  Because of the nature of the fire, fire officials are letting it burn.
There are two depressions in the Atlantic that are being monitored.  The one furthest from land is call number one.  Current long range GFS simulation now shows the storm crossing the southern tip of Hati, then passing over Cuba, crossing the Keys, and then quickly intensifying and making landfall east of Tallahassee on the 8th of July.  Severe weather is forecast for the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast.  There is an area of enhanced risk over central eastern NY southern VT central and southern NH, southwest ME, most of MA, far north CT, and far north RI.  Areas of  Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for the Central Plains to Great Lakes
Fire on private land taking pace near Deschutes, OR  5394-FM-ORM: threatening 725 Homes and casing 1,339 to be evacuated.
June 29, 2021 --- Extreme Temperatures for the Pacific Northwest, Northern Rockies/Plains & Southwest.  Excessive Rainfall for parts of New Mexico, Texas, & Central Plains.
   Tropical Activity: Remnants of Danny; Disturbance 1: Medium The long range GFS model shows a hurricane entering the Gulf and making landfall in Louisiana around the 8th of July.  Do not make planning decisions based on long range forecasts. Always be prepared.  Disturbance 2: Low (20%)
FMAG Approved: Lava Fire CA  5393-FM-CA 14,000 5%  Evacuations: 10,000
June 27, 2021 ---Heavy rain/flash flooding for portions of the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley.  
The two Atlantic disturbances being reported do not appear to be an immediate threat.  The Pacific disturbance Hurricane Enrique will provide a stream of moisture to central and southeast NM to southwest MO over the next seven days, in amounts that will exceed four and even five inches for some locations on this path.
June 26, 2021 ---Emergency Declaration FEMA-3560-EM-FL.   Partial Building Collapse - Surfside, FL. The slow response effort is probably due to the danger of causing an additional collapse, which would endanger the lives of the responders, and the lack of indications, by sound, that there are any survivors under the rubble.  Severe thunderstorms for the Southern Plains and Great Lakes.  Heavy rain/flash flooding for portions of the Southern Plains to Great Lakes and the Upper Mississippi Valley.
June 25, 2021 ---Emergency Declaration FEMA-3560-EM-FL.  Partial Building Collapse - Surfside, FL.   Search and Rescue efforts continue following a partial building collapse of a 13-story apartment/condo in Surfside, FL. Extent of damage and cause of the collapse remains unknown. 
Severe thunderstorms, heavy rain, flash flooding possible - Central Plains to Great Lakes.  At this point, the long range forecast is not showing the development of a tropical cyclone, this can change.
June 24, 2021 ---Partial Building Collapse - Surfside, FL  Severe thunderstorms, heavy rain, flash flooding possible for the Central Plains to Midwest.
June 23, 2021 ---Severe thunderstorms possible for the Central Plains.  Critical Fire Weather for the Northwest, Central Great Basin and Southwest.
June 22, 2021 ---Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley to Mid-Atlantic.  Severe thunderstorms possible for the Central Plains to Middle Mississippi Valley.  Critical Fire Weather for the Central Great Basin and Southwest.
Weekly Covid1-9 Update
Confirmed US COVID-19 Cases: 33,368,860 (+76,815) -- 0.2% increase in cases.
▪ Confirmed US COVID-19 Deaths: 599,354 (+2,011) -- 0.3% increase in deaths.
June 21, 2021 --- Tropical Storm Claudette nearing the mid-Atlantic coastal waters, tropical storm warning discontinued.  Heavy rain and flash flooding possible for areas on the Gulf Coast and for parts of the Southern Plains to Ohio Valley.  Severe thunderstorms possible - Ohio Valley to Northeast.  Critical Fire Weather for the Southwest.
June 20, 2021 ---Tropical Storm Claudette causing heavy rain and flash flooding possible Southeast to Mid-Atlantic.  Severe thunderstorms possible from the Middle Mississippi Valley to Great Lakes and Southeast, with an area of enhanced risk.
June, 19, 2021 ---Tropical Storm Claudette made landfall this morning.  Claudette was forecast to lose tropical strom status shortly after landfall and cross LA, MS, AL, GA, SC, and NC. Over 5 inches of rainfall remains forecast to fall over over western FL centeral and southern MS, central and northen GA, and northern SC.and flash flooding is also possible.   Severe thunderstorms possible for the Central Rockies to the Ohio Valley, the Great Lakes, and Southeast.  Fire Weather for parts of the Northern Rockies to the Southwest.
June 18, 2021 ---Heavy rain and flash flooding possible from the Great Lakes to Ohio Valley and on the central Gulf Coast.  Severe thunderstorms possible from Middle Mississippi Valley to Great Lakes.
Today there is an area of enhanced risk of severe weather for central and central east IL, IN and OH.  An area of slight risk surrounds the area of enhanced risk.
June 17, 2021 ---Severe thunderstorms, heavy rain, and flash flooding possible for the Upper Mississippi Valley to Great Lakes.  Critical fire weather for parts of the Central Rockies through Central Plains States. A depression is forecast to form Friday in the Gulf   If it becomes a named storm, it will be called "Claudette."  The seven day precipitation forecast is calling for over 5 inches of rainfall over southeastern LA southeast MS, most of AL and northwest GA.  Higher amounts are forecast for far southeast LA far southeast MS and central AL.
Today there is an area of enhanced risk of severe weather for southeast MN, central and northeast IA, southwest WI, and far northwest IL.  An area of slight risk surrounds this area.  Tomorrow an area of enhanced risk is forecast to form over central IN west to east and most of OH.
June 16, 2021 ---Critical Fire Weather possible for the Central Great Basin, Northern Rockies, and Northern Plains States.
Robertson Draw Fire Montana
The fire began on June 13, and is burning on state and private land in and around Red Lodge and Belfry (combined population 2,500), Threatening 450 homes, 312 buildings, infrastructure, utilities and equipment, Over 10,000 acres burned; 0% contained, Voluntary evacuations in effect for 900 people.
Tropical Activity: Previous forecast for Gulf of Mexico storm still valid. 
June 15, 2021 --Critical Fire Weather possible for Central Great Basin, Northern Rockies, and Northern Plains.
Tropical Activity:
The second named storm of the season Tropical Storm Bill is heading out into the North Atlantic where shear will pull it apart.  Meanwhile, in the Gulf, the storm we've written about is still forecast to make landfall around the 19th.  The seven day precipitation forecast is now calling for over seven inches of rain from south east LA to far west FL, along coastal areas, with lessor amounts forecast inland.
COVID-19 Weekly Update:
▪ Confirmed US COVID-19 Cases: 33,292,045 (+98,365) 0.30%
▪ Confirmed US COVID-19 Deaths: 597,343 (+2,541) 0.43%
The number of cases and deaths continue to decline and since deaths take place weeks after cases the rate of increase in deaths remains higher than the rate of increase in cases.
June 14, 2021 ---Severe Thunderstorms possible for the Mid-Atlantic states.  Heavy Rain with Flash Flooding possible for Southern Florida.  Critical Fire Weather possible for the Central Great Basin.  Tropical storm activity: Tropical Depression Two has formed off the coast of North Carolina and is forecast to become a Tropical Storm.  Moing northest it doesn't appear to be headed for a USA landfall.  The low in the Bay of Campeche is still forecast to make a USA landfall on the Gulf coast.  The seven day precipitation forecast is calling for over five inches of ranfall over southeast LA.
June 13, 2021 ---Severe Thunderstorms possible in the Mid-Atlantic states.
Tropical Activity: The GFS is showing development of a tropical storm./hurricane with landfall now forecast for the TX/LA border around the 20th.
June 12, 2021 ---Heavy rainfall/flash flooding possible for parts of South Carolina.
   Tropical Activity:
Disturbance 1 is Expected to slowly form over several days over the Bay
of Campeche and become a Tropical depression by midweek.  The GFS model is now showing landfall the 19th on the AL/FL coast and then running into a high that disapates the storm, but not beofe dropping  rainfall across southern AL/FL/GA.
June 11, 2021 ---Severe thunderstorms possible over the Central Plains.  Heavy rainfall/flash flooding possible for portions of the Lower Mississippi Valley & Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic.
The National Hurricane center is reporting on.Disturbance 1, which is expected to form early next week over the Bay of Campeche and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.  The computer model is showing a storm approaching the central Gulf coast at the end of next week.
June 10, 2021 ---Enhanced risk of severe weather over east and northeast Montana, northwest through south and west North Dakota, northwest and north central through central south and west South Dakota to northwest Nebraska.  Severe thunderstorms possible over the Northern/Central Plains.  Heavy rainfall/flash flooding possible from the Lower Mississippi to Ohio Valley.  Extreme fire weather for CO and UT, and Critical fire weather AZ, CO, MN, NM, UT, OR, and WY.   FMAG approved - for the Jacks Valley Fire, NV.  The fire began on June 9, 2021, and is burning on Federal, state, and private land in and around the city of Indian Hills, NV, Threatening 1,000 homes, 10 business and a school, the General Improvement District, water tanks supporting Indian Hills, and high voltage transmission lines.350 acres burned; 0% contained. Voluntary evacuations in effect for 2,000 people.
June 9, 2021 ---Severe thunderstorms possible over the Northern/Central Plains.  Heavy rainfall/flash flooding possible for the Lower Mississippi to Ohio Valley.  Critical fire weather for NV, UT, and Elevated Fire Weather AZ, NM, UT, WY, and ID.
Severe weather and flash flooding prompted voluntary evacuations and local road closures are in effect across northern Mississippi. 150 homes have been impacted, and 60+ roadways are flooded, in Panola, Sunflower, and Bolivar Counties.
The area of enhanced risk of severe weather identified yesterday is still forecast for tomorrow.. 
   Tropical Activity: There is slowly developing low over the SW Caribbean Sea, which a computer forecasting model shows develops into a tropical storm in a little over a week from now. It also shows it developing into a hurricane around ten days from now and making a run up the Texas coast with a Louisiana land fall.  We'll keep an eye on this one and provide updates in the days ahead.
June 8, 2021 ---Severe thunderstorms possible for the Northern/Central Plains.   Heavy rainfall/flash flooding possible for portions of the Lower Mississippi to Ohio Valley.  Critical fire weather for NV, UT, CO, WY, and AZ.
The three day Severe Thunderstorm Outlook is showing an enhanced are of risk over eastern MT, and central through western ND and SD.
Weekly U.S. COVID-19 totals:
o Confirmed Cases: 33,193,680 (+114,137) 0.34 %
o Confirmed Deaths: 594,802 (+3,537) 0.59%
June 7, 2021 ---Excessive rainfall and flash flooding possible for parts of the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley.  Severe weather possible for the Northern Plains.  Critical fire weather for NV and UT.  Tropical Activity: Disturbance in the southern Gulf of Mexico with a Low 20% risk of development over the next five days.  Around the 18th -19th, long range computer model forecast is showing two lows in the Gulf of Mexico.
 Telegraph Fire 5389-FM-AZ
The fire began June 4 and has burned 41,109 acres of State and Private land and threatens homes in and around the communities of Top of the World, Kearny, Superior, Kelvin, Riverside, Miami, and Dripping Springs, AZ (pop. 10k), five mines, critical area watershed, power distribution lines, and cell towers.  200 residents have been evacuated
June 6, 2021 ---Heavy Rain/Flash Flooding possible for the Southern Plains & Lower Mississippi Valley.  Elevated & Critical Fire Weather fo the Great Basin, Southwest, & Northern Plains and Red Flag Warnings for NV, UT, and AZ.
FM-UT Mammoth Fire Utah: The fire began on June 5, 2021, and is burning on federal land and currently moving to state, and private land around Mammoth Creek.  Village near the city of Panguitch, Utah (pop 1,785) ▪ 1,000 acres burned; 0% contained ▪ Mandatory evacuations in effect for 150 people.
June 5, 2021 ---Heavy rain/flash flooding for parts of the central and eastern south and severe thunderstorms for the central north and the northeast north.
June 4, 2021 ---Heavy rain/flash flooding for pats of TX & LA.  Severe thunderstorms for the Northern Plains.
June 3, 2021 --- Heavy rain/flash flooding for parts of southern Texas, Mid-Atlantic, and the Northeast.  Severe thunderstorms from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast.   Elevated fire weather and isolated dry thunderstorms for the Central Great Basin, Northern Intermountain, and Northern Plains.
Louisiana -- Major Disaster Declaration FEMA-4606-DR-LA for Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding between May 17th to  the 21st Individual Assistance for five parishes.
June 2, 2021 ---There are no severe weather warnings for today this morning.  There is some ongoing flooding in Texas and it looks like in the days ahead there will be more coming.
FEMA Weekly Update of State-Specific Covid-19 Funeral Assistance Information
Applicants may apply by calling 844-684-6333 (TTY: 800-462-7585) from 9 a.m. to 9 p.m. ET, Monday through Friday. Multilingual services are available. Please note, phone calls from FEMA may come from an unidentified number. Additional information about the assistance and frequently asked questions are available on FEMA.gov.
June 1, 2021 ---Heavy Rain/Flash Flooding possible for Southern Plains, Lower and Middle Mississippi Valleys
Weekly U.S. COVID-19 totals:
o Confirmed Cases: 33,088,420 (+155,083) 0.4 % increase in cases
o Confirmed Deaths: 591,421 (+4,719) 0.8 % increase in deaths  This is an increase in deaths over the previous week.

The Disaster Center is pleased to be able to provide a copies of  Earthquake Safety at Home
through Amazon.

To learn more about this book go to our Earthquake Safety at Home page. 

NEHRP Recommended Seismic Provisions for New and Other Structures - Sept. 2020

August 4, 2020 --- National Rankings for Covid Cases per confirmed Cases, for Confirmed cases per thousand, and for Deaths per thousand.
The Disaster Center Covid-19 Chronicle -- The Disaster Center Covid-19 Diary -- John Hopkins Covid -19 Map -- WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) Dashboard -- CDC Covid-19 Communication Toolkit -- For Migrants, Refugees, and Other Limited-English-Proficient Populations -- FEMA's Situation Report -- FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2021  -- FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2020 --    FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2019 --   FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2018 -- FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2017 --  FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2016 -- FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2015 --  FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2014  --  FEMA Daily Situation Report Archive 2013
We've upgraded and added to our Crime Reports pages.  The new pages integrate crime and imprisonment by year and States.

To volunteer or donate to a National VOAD member organization


FEMA has tools to help people.  It also has a poor history of maintaining link addresses, which is why we don't have many links to FEMA's site.  Let us know is these links stop working. Disaster Recovery Center (DRC) Locator --   FEMA App. Download it for free from the App Store or GooglePlay.-- If you are located in the area of a declared Major Disaster you can register online at www.DisasterAssistance.gov or by calling 800-621-3362 or TTY 800-462-7585. If you use 711 or Video Relay Service (VRS), call 800-621-3362. Operators are multilingual and calls are answered seven days a week from 7 a.m. to 10 p.m. CDT.

People affected by conflict: Humanitarian needs in numbers - 2013 (PDF)     Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED) CRED (2013)
FEMA fraud hotline at 800-323-8603 or email DHSOIGHOTLINE@DHS.GOV. This can include information on contractors, inspectors, disaster survivors or anyone posing as any of these. Complaints also can be made via the FEMA disaster assistance helpline at 800-621-3362 (TTY 800-462-7585) or with state or local law enforcement officials or consumer agencies. 
We've been working on updating the State disaster pages.  Here they are, a work in progress:
Alabama -- Alaska -- Arizona -- Arkansas -- California -- Colorado -- Connecticut -- Delaware -- Florida -- Georgia -- Hawaii -- Idaho -- Illinois -- Indiana -- Iowa -- Kansas -- Kentucky -- Louisiana -- Maine -- Maryland -- Massachusetts -- Michigan -- Minnesota -- Mississippi -- Missouri -- Montana -- Nebraska -- Nevada -- New Hampshire -- New Jersey -- New Mexico -- New York -- North Carolina -- North Dakota -- Ohio -- Oklahoma -- Oregon -- Pennsylvania -- Rhode Island -- South Carolina -- South Dakota -- Tennessee -- Texas -- Utah -- Vermont -- Virginia -- Washington -- West Virginia -- Wisconsin -- Wyoming
If you have any suggestions about how it can be improved, please send an email to host@disastercenter.com
 
Ready Rating: A FREE Service from the American Red Cross
The Red Cross, Salvation Army and other volunteer organizations move resources into position so as to be able to respond to disasters. Please consider a donation to the Red Cross  You can text REDCROSS to 90999 to make a $10 donation or call 1-800 RED CROSS     
There are several ways you can donate to the Salvation Army .  By phone: Call 1-800-SAL-ARMY   By text: Text GIVE to 80888.  Also, consider volunteering or donating with  Disaster Relief Agencies and Nongovernment Organizations
Red Cross -- After a disaster, letting your family and friends know that you are safe and well can bring your loved ones great peace of mind. This website is designed to help make that communication easier.

FBI's "Tips on Avoiding Fraudulent Charitable Contribution Schemes"

If you want to suggest a link, please post to host@disastercenter.com

The people affected will not lack clothing for long and more will be donated than will ever be used.  It will end up in the local landfill, because there is no place to store it.  If you are going to collect clothing have a garage sale with the proceeds going to the victims.  Be responsible, if you collect money get proof that it was donated and make evidence available to those who gave.  Consider volunteering or donating with  Disaster Relief Agencies and Nongovernment Organizations. 
WHO's CRED is reporting that in 2010 a total of 385 natural disasters killed more than 297,000 people worldwide, affected over 217.0 million others and caused US$ 123.9 billion of economic damages. Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010: (PDF 4.2 MB) The Numbers and Trends. Brussels: CRED; 2011-Guha-Sapir D, Vos F, Below R, with Ponserre S.   

There is only one weather authority in the United States, and that's the National Weather Service  For emergency information consult with your local NWS office or your local emergency management agency.  If you want to suggest a link, please post to host@disastercenter.com
SaferProducts.gov: A New World for Consumers, Businesses, and Researchers -- This is a site that the US Chamber of Commerce wants the government to shut down.  Take a Look...
The Disaster Center supports the UN's International Strategy for Disaster Reduction. "One million safe schools and hospitals campaign" [PDF 3.28 MB] guidance note  [PDF 2.04 MB]
Schools and hospitals are a great place to start building a world wide disaster mitigation movement.

The Disaster Center hosts a Talking About Disaster: Guide for Standard Messages
The CDC has recently come out with its Social Media: Preparedness 101: Zombie Apocalypse Guide and announced a forthcoming video contest.  The idea that all these efforts are concerned with is that you and your family be prepared for disasters.  In our estimation the most important disaster readiness tool is a common contact person outside of the disaster area.  Someone who, if conditions are so bad that household members can't go home, that you might move in with.  After disasters most people do not stay in shelters.  They are sheltered by relatives and friends. So what we are saying is that the greatest tool after a disaster is a friend; get one; be one.  
The Red Cross has created a teaching guide -- Children in disasters- Games and guidelines to engage youth
in risk reduction
A new National Science Foundation study has found that: Drought may threaten much of globe within decades - NSF
A study released by researchers at Iowa State University calculated costs of five major crimes, and found that each murder generated societal costs of $17.25 million
States: 10 Leading Causes of Death
Vital Records: Locate your States' sources for Birth, Death, Marriage, and Divorce Records




National Radar Mosaic Sectors


Go to the Alaska sector Go to
                          the Pacific Northwest sector Go to
                          the Northern Rockies sector Go to
                          the Upper Mississippi Valley sector Go to
                          the Central Great Lakes sector Go to the
                          Northeast sector
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                          Hawaii sector
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Currently at the Southern Rockies sector
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September 19, 2011 -- We have added the FBI's 2010 State Uniform Crime Reports to our State data which now covers from 1960 to 2010, 50 years of crime statistics.

The National Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) has replaced the color codes of the Homeland Security Advisory System (HSAS). The new alert system is currently active, active alerts are also available on Twitter and Facebook

 Established 14 years ago, the Disaster Center site has gone through a number of evolutions.  A big part of this work has provided coverage for disasters affecting the United States.  Big stories were Hurricane Dennis, Rita, Katrina, Wilma, Floyd, Mitch, Bret and many others.  One of the most linked to areas on the web site has been our graphics. The most popular of these Hurricane Floyd as it approached the US coast. Current and Historic Atlantic Tropical Storms and Hurricanes

 Our work of mitigating disasters involves the preparation for them, responding to them, and recovering from them.  In an ideal world we would be working on ways to mitigate risk
 SBA Disaster Recovery Loans  1-800-659-2955 -- SBA makes loans to home owners and business after Major disasters
HUD may provide disaster recovery assistance




Multiple locations were found. Please select one of the following:


 US Drought
        Monitor,The Latest Seasonal Outlook
Keetch-Byran Drought Index  --  
Internet HazDat - Site Activity Query Map -- FAA  Flight Delay Information 
Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry  -- Internet HazDat - Site Activity Query Map
EPA -- Search Your Community
EPA -- Air Quality -- Use the Interactive Map
EPA -- UV Index Forecast Map
NOAA - Current UV Index Forecast Map -- JPL Asteroid Watch  

State Transportation Web Sites

State Department Travel Information  -- Websites of U.S. Embassies, Consulates, and Diplomatic Missions

WHO -- Disease Outbreak News     UN-SPIDER Knowledge Portal


 Search CVE Vulnerabilities Database Enter vendor, software, or keyword

Aerosol Optical Depth
Aerosol Optical Depth
Aerosol Size
Aerosol Size
Carbon Monoxide
Carbon Monoxide
Land Surface Temperature
Land Surface Temperature
Chlorophyll
Chlorophyll
Cloud Fraction
Cloud Fraction
Fire
Fire
Net Radiation
Net Radiation
Land Surface Temperature Anomaly
Land Surface Temp. Anomaly
Sea Surface Temperature
Sea Surface Temperature
Net Primary Productivity
Net Primary Productivity
Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly
Sea Surface Temp. Anomaly
Snow Cover
Snow Cover
Water Vapor
Water Vapor
Total Rainfall
Total Rainfall
Vegetation
Vegetation

Earth Observatory: Data & Images




US States Crime 2004 -2005 Crimes per 100,000 and Ranking
 

The Disaster Center provides online coverage of disasters in the United States, compiling and providing links to disaster related statistics and studies: US Crimes Data from 1960  Tornado, Nonfatal occupational Injuries and Illnesses, Fatal Occupational Injuries, Motor Vehicle Traffic Injury and Fatality Data,  Child Nursery Equipment and Toys: Accident Rates by Age, Sports & Recreational Equipment: Injuries by Age and Sex, Home, Heating, Plumbing, and Appliance: Injuries by Cause, Age, and Rate, Furniture, furnishings, household, and personal use items: Accident injury rates by AgeHome, Work Tools and Misc. Items: Accident Injury rates by Age. US Cause of Death Data US Anti-terrorism Threat/Risk Policy prior to September 11, 2001,  US Nuclear, Biological and Chemical Terrorism Policy prior to 9-11  Atlantic Hurricane pages and indexTotal student, Number of school-associated Violent Deaths and Number of Homicides and Suicides of Youth Ages 519, by Location: 19922002  

The three companies (Equifax, TransUnion, and Experian) have created a central Web site where you can order your credit report (www.annualcreditreport.com). You also can order it by calling (877) 322-8228.
You do not have to pay to receive the report, nor do you have to pay for any service or product as a condition of receipt
.
The National Do Not Call Registry gives you a choice about whether to receive telemarketing calls at home.  If they do, you can file a complaint at https://www.donotcall.gov. You can register your home or mobile phone for free. Your registration will be effective for five years.


Here are some tips you can use to avoid becoming a victim of cyber fraud:

If you have received a suspicious e-mail, file a complaint with the Internet Crime Complaint Center: www.ic3.gov.

For more information on e-scams, visit the FBIs E-Scams and Warnings webpage: www.fbi.gov/scams-safety/e-scams


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